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Pubblicazioni Aperte DIgitali Sapienza > FACOLTA' DI SCIENZE POLITICHE [disattivato] > ECONOMIA DEI MERCATI MONETARI E FINANZIARI INTERNAZIONALI >

Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/10805/1017

Title: La previsione dei consumi elettrici: un’applicazione al settore del trasporto ferroviario
Authors: CENTRA, MASSIMO
Tutor: D'Ecclesia, Rita Laura
Keywords: ARIMA models
Exponential smoothing
Electricity
Load forecasting
Rail transportation
Issue Date: 2009
Abstract: Due to the liberalization of countless electricity markets, load forecasting has become crucial to all public utilities for which electricity is a strategic variable. With the goal of contributing to the forecasting process inside public utilities and companies in general, this paper addresses the issue of applying different quantitave forecasting models for forecasting the daily and hourly electricity load curve of the Italian railways. The analysis shows the accuracy of the models proposed as well as their properties for this particular case.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/10805/1017
Research interests: Energy, quantitative forecasting models, infrastructure project evaluations and real option theory.
Skills short description: As electricity energy buyer I am involved in the following activities: 1) development and testing of energy forecasting systems; 2) application of statistical electricity load forecasting models; 3) monitoring and adjustment of the information systems dedicated to the management of electricity purchasing; 4) monitoring of the quantitative and qualitative indicators relative to the purchasing electricity contracts; 5) Comparative international analysis on electricity; 6) Analysis of the regulations. As part of my previous market analysis activity, I investigated the data collected by market research companies defining the methodological research with particular attention to the definition of the sample and the method of selection of the survey units. The main activities can be classified as follow: 1) tests of consistency and coding operations of survey instruments; 2) acquisition and analysis of the information flows from primary and secondary sources; 3) supervision of the data collection operations; 4) provision of tables, charts, and supplements; 5) illustration of the results, methodological aspects and main problems detected
Personal skills keywords: Accuracy of analysis
Analytical thinking
Team working
Appears in PhD:ECONOMIA DEI MERCATI MONETARI E FINANZIARI INTERNAZIONALI

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